Bitcoin 200-Week Moving Average
Current price
$81,574
+22.55%vs 200-week MA
200-week MA · $66,562
Bitcoin's 200-week moving average is $66,562 as of Oct 14, 2026, and the price closed 22.6% above it. The average has risen 23.6% over the past year and has not fallen on a single day since it began on Jun 17, 2015.
- Current 200-week MA
- $66,562
- Price vs 200-week MA
- +22.55%
- 200-week MA · 1-year change
- +23.64%
- Days closed below the line
- 379
- 9.2% of days since 2015
What it is
Bitcoin's average price over the last 200 weeks, or 1,400 daily closes.
Each point is the simple mean of the trailing 1,400 daily closing prices, so the line smooths away individual cycles and shows only bitcoin's long-term price trend. Because it averages about 3.8 years of data, it moves slowly and lags sharp rallies and crashes by design.
What past cycles show
A reference level from past bear markets, not a floor.
The December 2018 low closed 0.5% above the line. The November 2022 low closed 34.3% below it. The lowest close since the October 2025 top, on Jun 30, 2026, is 6.3% below it. In all, price has closed below the line on 379 days since 2015, 9.2% of them. The longest stretch ran 210 days, from Aug 19, 2022 to Mar 16, 2023. Our line starts after the January 2015 low, so that low has no reading here. This describes where price has found footing before. It does not predict where price goes next.
How it’s computed
A plain trailing mean of the daily close. No smoothing, no weighting.
Computed from our own daily price history, which starts on Aug 18, 2011. With a 1,400-day window the line cannot exist until about 3.8 years of closes accumulate, so it starts on Jun 17, 2015.
Price vs the 200-week average at past cycle tops and lows
Each row is a day picked by our own price data: the highest daily close of each bull market, and the lowest close between two tops. The last column is how far that close sat above or below the 200-week average.
| Event | Date | BTC close | Price vs 200-week MA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cycle top | Dec 4, 2013 | $1,132 | — |
| Cycle low | Jan 14, 2015 | $171 | — |
| Cycle top | Dec 16, 2017 | $19,188 | +1,498% |
| Cycle low | Dec 15, 2018 | $3,180 | +0.5% |
| Cycle top | Nov 8, 2021 | $67,559 | +297% |
| Cycle low | Nov 21, 2022 | $15,766 | -34.3% |
| Cycle top | Oct 6, 2025 | $124,728 | +133% |
| Low since the last top | Jun 30, 2026 | $58,526 | -6.3% |
Dates are UTC daily closes. Our average starts on Jun 17, 2015, so earlier rows show a dash. The latest low is provisional until a new cycle top confirms it.